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参数疏导:预计 MSE

统计学问题:级别(k\)修剪后的平均值的MSE是多少?

咱们如何答复它:预计从规范柯西散布(t 散布 w/df = 1)生成的大小为 20 的随机样本的程度 \(k\) 修剪均值的 MSE。指标参数 \(\theta\) 是核心或中位数。柯西散布不存在均值。在表中总结 MSE 的估计值 \(k = 1, 2, ... 9\)。

result=rep(0,9)for(j in 1:9){  n<-20  for(i in 1:m){    x<-sort(rcauchy(n))

参数自抽样法:教训效用计算

统计问题:随着零假如与事实之间的差别发生变化,效用如何变动?

咱们如何答复:绘制 t 测验的教训效用曲线。

t 测验的原假如是 。另一种抉择是

您将从具备 的正态分布总体中抽取大小为 20 的样本。您将应用 0.05 的显着性程度。

显示当总体的理论平均值从 350 变为 650(增量为 10)时,效用如何变动。

y 轴是教训效用(通过 bootstrap 预计),x 轴是 \(\mu\) 的不同值(350、360、370 … 650)。

    x <- rnorm(n, mean = muA, sd = sigma) #抽取平均值=450的样本    ts <- t.test(x, mu = mu0) #对有效的mu=500进行t测验    ts$p.value

 

参数自抽样法:教训效用计算

统计问题:样本量如何影响效用?

咱们如何答复:创立更多的效用曲线,因为理论均值在 350 到 650 之间变动,但应用大小为 n = 10、n = 20、n = 30、n = 40 和 n = 50 的样本生成它们。同一图上的所有 5 条效用曲线。

pvals <- replicate(m, pvalue())power <- mean(pvals <= 0.05)points(sequence,final2\[2,\],col="red",pch=1)points(sequence,final2\[3,\],col="blue",pch=2)

 

参数自抽样法:教训置信水平

统计问题:在制作 95% CI 时,如果咱们的样本很小并且不是来自正态分布,咱们是否仍有 95% 的置信度?

咱们如何答复它:依据样本为总体的平均值创立一堆置信区间 (95%)。

您的样本大小应为 16,取自具备 2 个自由度的卡方散布。

找出未能捕获总体实在均值的置信区间的比例。(揭示:自由度为 \(k\) 的卡方散布的平均值为 \(k\)。)

for(i in 1:m){  samp=rchisq(n,df=2)  mean=mean(samp)  sd=sd(samp)  upper=mean+qt(0.975,df=15)*sd/4

 

非参数自抽样法置信区间

统计问题:基于一个样本,咱们能够为总体相关性创立一个置信区间吗?

咱们如何答复:为相干统计量创立一个 bootstrap t 置信区间预计。

boot.ti <-  function(x, B = 500, R = 100, level = .95, stattic){        x <- as.matrix(x) library(boot)       #for boot and boot.cidata(law, package = "bootstrap")dat <- lawci <- boot.t.ci(dat, statistic = stat, B=2000, R=200)ci

 

自抽样法后的Jackknife

统计问题:R 的标准误差的 bootstrap 预计的标准误差是多少?

咱们如何答复它: data(law) 像上一个问题一样应用。在 bootstrap 后执行 Jackknife 以取得标准误差预计的标准误差预计。(bootstrap 用于取得总体中 R 的 SE 的估计值。而后应用折刀法取得该 SE 估计值的 SE。)

indices <- matrix(0, nrow = B, ncol = n)# 进行自举for(b in 1:B){    i <- sample(1:n, size = n, replace = TRUE)    LSAT <- law$LSAT\[i\] #  jackknifefor(i in 1:n){    keepers <- function(k){         !any(k == i)       }

 

自测题

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Parametric Bootstrap: Estimate MSE

Statistical question: What is the MSE of a level \(k\) trimmed mean?

How we can answer it: Estimate the MSE of the level \(k\) trimmed mean for random samples of size 20 generated from a standard Cauchy distribution (t-distribution w/df = 1). The target parameter \(\theta\) is the center or median. The mean does not exist for a Cauchy distribution. Summarize the estimates of MSE in a table for \(k = 1, 2, ... 9\).

Parametric Bootstrap: Empirical Power Calculations

Statistical question: How does power change as the difference between the null hypothes and the reality changes?

How we can answer it: Plot an empirical power curve for a t-test.

The null hypothesis of the t-test is \(\mu = 500\). The alternative is \(\mu \ne 500\).

You will draw samples of size 20, from a normally distributed population with \(\sigma = 100\). You will use a significance level of 0.05.

Show how the power changes as the actual mean of the population changes from 350 to 650 (increments of 10).

On the y-axis will be the empirical power (estimated via bootstrap) and the x-axis will be the different values of \(\mu\) (350, 360, 370 … 650).

Parametric Bootstrap: Empirical Power Calculations

Statistical question: How does sample size affect power?

How we can answer it: Create more power curves as the actual mean varies from 350 to 650, but produce them for using samples of size n = 10, n = 20, n = 30, n = 40, and n = 50. Put all 5 power curves on the same plot.

Parametric Bootstrap: Empirical Confidence Level

Statistical question: When making a 95% CI, are we still 95% confident if our samples are small and do not come from a normal distribution?

How we can answer it: Create a bunch of Confidence Intervals (95%) for the mean of a population based on a sample.

\[\bar{x} \pm t^{*} \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\]

Your samples should be of size 16, drawn from a chi-squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom.

Find the proportion of Confidence Intervals that fail to capture the true mean of the population. (Reminder: a chi-squared distribution with \(k\) degrees of freedom has a mean of \(k\).)

Non Parametric Bootstrap Confidence Interval

Statistical question: Based on one sample, can we create a confidence interval for the correlation of the population?

How we can answer it: Create a bootstrap t confidence interval estimate for the correlation statistic.

Jackknife after bootstrap

Statistical question: What is the standard error of the bootstrap estimate of the standard error of R?

How we can answer it: Use data(law) like the previous problem. Perform Jackknife after bootstrap to get a standard error estimate of the standard error estimate. (The bootstrap is used to get an estimate of the SE of R in the population. The jackknife is then used to get an SE of that SE estimate.)


 

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