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关于算法:ECOS3003问题集

ECOS3003 Problem set 1 of 3
Problem set ECOS3003

Due date 1300 23 March

Please keep your answers brief and concise. Excessively long and irrelevant answers
will be penalised. You can handwrite your answers if you wish.

  1. Consider the following game. Two workers A and B simultaneously choose to
    either work on project 1 (P1) or project 2 (P2). The payoffs are as follow. If both
    players opt for P1 the payoffs are 10 to A and 20 to B. If both players opt for P2, the
    payoffs are 8 to A and 16 to B. If the choices are either P1 and P2 or P2 and P1 each
    player gets 0.

a. What are all of the Nash equilibria?

b. Now assume that there is a principal who can send a message to both players before
they make their choices. What would a potential outcome be? Would the players be
willing to pay for the principal to be involved? Interpret your answer in terms of the
willingness for people to become employees.

  1. Two people, A and B, can simultaneously choose to work on task 1 (T1) or task 2
    (T2). There are two ways of organising their work. Firstly, A and B can work in the
    same business in which they are rewarded by group incentive payments. In this case
    the payoffs are: 10 to each of them if they both choose T1; 6 to each player if by both
    opted for T2; and 7 each if one player opted for T2 and the other T1. The alternative
    way of organising production is to have each person be an independent contractor, in
    which their payoffs are based on their individual returns (profits). In this case, the
    payoffs are: 10 each if they both choose T1; 8 each if they both choose T2; 11 to A
    and 3 to B if A chooses T2 and B chooses T1; and, finally, A will get 3 and B will get
  2. if A chooses T1 and B choose T2.

a. What are the equilibria under each organisation structure?

b. Which structure is preferred? Interpret your answer in light of the transactions cost
perspective of the firm.

c. What are the shortcomings of this example as a theory of why firms exist?

  1. Consider the following delegation versus centralisation model of decision making,
    loosely based on some of the discussion in class.

A principal has to implement a decision that has to be a number between 0 and 1; that
is, a decision d needs to be implemented where 0 1d≤ ≤
0 1s≤ ≤ ) the principal would like to implement a decision d = s as the
ECOS3003 Problem set 2 of 3
principal’s utility Up (or loss from the maximum possible profit) is given by
PU s d= ? ? . With such a utility function, maximising utility really means making
the loss as small as possible. For simplicity, the two possible levels of s are 0.4 and
0.6, and each occurs with probability 0.5.

There are two division managers A and B who each have their own biases. Manager
A always wants a decision of 0.4 to be implemented and incurs a disutility UA that is
increasing the further from 0.4 the decision d that is actually implement, specifically,
0.4AU d= ? ? . Similarly, Manager B always wants a decision of 0.6 to be
implement, and incurs a disutility UB that is (linearly) increasing in the distance
between 0.6 and the actually decision that is implemented – that is 0.6BU d= .
Each manager is completely informed, so that each of them knows exactly what the
state of the economy s is.

(a) The principal can opt to centralise the decision but before making her decision –
given she does not know what the state of the economy is – she asks for
recommendations from her two division managers. Centralisation means that the
principal commits to implement a decision that is the average of the two
recommendations she received from her managers. The recommendations are sent
simultaneously and cannot be less than 0 or greater than 1.

Assume that the state of the economy s = 0.6. What is the report (or recommendation)
that Manager A will send if Manager B always truthfully reports s? Explain your
answer.

(b) The principal is going to centralise the decision and will ask for a recommendation
from both managers, as in the previous question. Now, however, assume that both
managers strategically make their recommendations. What are the recommendations
rA and rB made by the Managers A and B, respectively, in a Nash equilibrium? Again,
provide some economic intuition for your answer.

(c) Can you design a contract for both of the managers that can help the principal
implement their preferred option? Why might this contract be problematic in the real
world?

(d) What if the principal instead delegates decision-making entirely to manager A
(that is, A can decide on her own what d is without any consultation). Does this make
the principal better or worse off than with centralisation and communication (as in
part b)? Provide some intuition for your answer.

  1. Consider a variant on the Aghion and Tirole (1997) model. Portia, the principal,
    and Angus, the agent, together can decide on implementing a new project, but both
    are unsure of which project is good and which is really bad. Given this, if no one is
    informed they will not do any project and both parties get zero. Both Portia and
    Angus can, however, put effort into discovering a good project. Portia can put in
    ECOS3003 Problem set 3 of 3
    21
    2
    E , but it gives her a probability of being
    informed of E. If Portia gets her preferred project she will get a payoff of $1. For all
    other projects Portia gets zero. Similarly, the agent Angus can put in effort e at a cost
    of 21
    2
    e ; this gives Angus a probability of being informed with probability e. If Angus
    gets his preferred project he gets $1. For all other projects he gets zero. Note also, that
    the probability that Portia’s preferred project is also Angus’s preferred project is α
    (this is the degree of congruence is α). It is also the case that α if Angus chooses his
    preferred project that it will also be the preferred project of Portia. (Note, in this
    question, we assume that α = β from the standard model studied in class.)

(a) Assume that Portia has the legal right to decide (P-formal authority). If Portia is
uninformed she will ask the agent for a recommendation; if Angus is informed he will
recommend a project to implement. First consider the case when both Angus and
Portia simultaneously choose their effort costs. Write out the utility or profit function
for both Portia and Angus. Solve for the equilibrium level of E and e, and show that
Portia becomes perfectly informed (E = 1) and Angus puts in zero effort in
equilibrium (e = 0). Explain your result, possibly using a diagram of Portia’s marginal
benefit and marginal cost curves. What is Portia’s expected profit?

(b) Now consider the case when the agent Angus has the formal decision making
rights (Delegation or A-formal authority). In this case, if Angus is informed he will
decide on the project if he is informed; if not he will ask Portia for a recommendation.
Again calculate the equilibrium levels of E and e.

(c) Consider now the case when Portia can decide to implement a different timing
sequence. Assume now that with sequential efforts first Angus puts in effort e into
finding a good project. If he is informed, Angus implements the project he likes. If
Angus is uninformed he reveals this to Portia, who can then decide on the level of her
effort E. If Portia is informed she then implements her preferred project. If she too is
uninformed no project is implemented.

Draw the extensive form of this game and calculate the effort level Portia makes in
the subgame when the Agent is uninformed. Now calculate the effort that Angus puts
in at the first stage of the game. Calculate the expected profit of Portia in this
sequential game and show that it is equal to 1(1)
2
α α α? + .

  1. Recent research by Meagher and Wait (2020) found that if workers trust their
    managers that delegation of decision making is more likely and that workers tend to
    trust their managers less the longer the worker has been employed by a particular firm
    (that is, worker trust in their manager is decreasing the longer the worker’s tenure)

Interpret these results in the context of the infinitely repeated game studied in class.

What are some possible empirical issues related to interpreting these results.

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